Are the Midterms going to be a Reliable Predictor for the 2024 Election?
And will a GOP led Congress accept the 2024 election results if the Dems win?
As many know, the GOP is on course to win major gains this year's midterms. One thing is, that many individuals are undercutting just how large the GOP victory can be. It is set to increase, if not guarantee, their chances of winning the presidency in 2024, according to many people.
What I see, however, is that a Republican-controlled Congress will effectively freeze the entire Biden presidency. Democrats will be unable to pass meaningful legislation and thus be looked upon as deficient and given how they have been criticized relentlessly over worsening inflation and sentiment of “do-nothingness” can prove fatal.
Midterms are often seen as a very non-reliable barometer for how the election will pan out. Reagan, Clinton, and Obama had all suffered massive landslides in midterm losses but still managed to win their respective re-elections. For anybody to make any form of confident prediction would be unnecessary and ultimately stupid.
As such, can the results of the 2022 midterms be reliably interpreted as foreshadowing the eventual result of the 2024 presidential race? I think the answer is pretty clear as we look at recent history. 2010 was one of the most sweeping GOP victories ever seen. They still lost the White House in 2012.
If you listen to the typical media, all you will digest is these hosts fantasizing about the next White House race. In reality, political news generally has a pretty short half-life, and extrapolating over the 2 years from midterm to a presidential election is fruitless.
One other tidbit, I think everybody is taking for granted the idea that a GOP-controlled Congress would even honor the idea of defeat in the 2024 election results. The coup we are all watching an investigation for unfolding on live television has opened an enormous Pandora’s box and since 2020 that wing of the GOP has consolidated power and ousted anybody who would speak out against them. Also, keep in mind that coups happen in waves historically.